• Comparison of Uncertainty Estimates in the Short Term Using Real Data 

      Gavaris, S.; Patterson, K. R.; Lewy, P.; Mesnil, Benoit; Punt, A. E.; Cook, R. M.; Kell, Laurence T.; O’Brien, C. M.; Restrepo, V. R.; Skagen, Dankert W.; Stefánsson, Gunnar (ICES CM documents, Working paper, 2000)
      In response to increased interest in the Precautionary Approach, various approaches have been applied to characterize the uncertainty of fisheries assessment projection results. Using three case studies, a comparison of ...
    • Do Different Methods Provide Accurate Probability Statements in the Short Term? 

      Restrepo, V. R.; Patterson, K. R.; Darby, Chris; Gavaris, S.; Kell, Laurence T.; Lewy, P.; Mesnil, Benoit; Punt, A. E.; Cook, R. M.; O’Brien, C. M.; Skagen, Dankert W.; Stefánsson, Gunnar (ICES CM documents, Working paper, 2000)
      The performance of uncertainty estimation procedures was evaluated with respect to accuracy. A confidence statement is said to be accurate if the confidence point achieves the desired probability coverage. A Monte Carlo ...
    • Limiting inter-annual variation in total allowable catch strategies. An application to ICES roundfish stocks 

      Kell, Laurence T.; Pilling, Graham; Kirkwood, Geoffrey P.; Pastoors, Martin; Abaunza, Pablo; Aps, Robert; Biseau, Alain; Korsbrekke, Knut; Kunzlik, Philip; Laurec, Alain; Mesnil, Benoit; Needle, Coby L.; Roel, Beatriz; Ulrich, Clara (ICES CM Documents;2003/X:7, Working paper, 2003)
      This study evaluated through simulation management strategy that stabilise catch levels by setting bounds on the inter-annual variability in Total Allowable Catches (TACs). An integrated modelling approach was used, which ...